AVAILABLE NOW
Observed state
Traceable territorial evidence with explicit geography, time, source and quality status.
Research · Work in progress
From territorial evidence to better questions.
Habitability uses the product as a research laboratory: visualise governed evidence, compare trajectories, identify gaps and relationships, and refine the ontology. Forward scenarios remain a gated later research layer.
AVAILABLE NOW
Historical trajectory
H06 demonstrates annual territorial trajectories over 1950–2025; air-quality history is being extended.
NEXT
Evidence governance
Make Depth × Quality × Coverage, Claim Boundaries and comparability machine-readable across phenomena.
GATED
Forward outlook
Scenario-based 10-, 20- and 30-year territorial outlooks with explicit uncertainty, only after historical validation.
The rule
Observation before projection.
A trend is not a causal explanation. A scenario is not a prediction. An outlook is not evidence unless its assumptions and uncertainty remain visible.
What has to be true before deeper research claims?
1 · Evidence depthMultiple robust historical metrics and longer air-quality series.
2 · Cross-territory validationUse maximum defensible source coverage and test stability, geography sensitivity and comparability without a fixed city sample.
3 · H-D-A-R operationalisationConnect the user-facing framework to evidence without collapsing it into an arbitrary score.
4 · BacktestingTest whether historical information would have added value without look-ahead.
5 · Scenario disciplineDefine explicit assumptions, uncertainty and falsifiable forward outputs.